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Isaac Paredes Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4

Isaac Paredes Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4
Photo Credit: © David Banks-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The St. Louis Cardinals (57-54) are set to face the Chicago Cubs (54-59) on August 4, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT at Wrigley Field in Chicago. This matchup marks the 13th encounter between the two teams this season, with the Cardinals leading the series 7-5. The Cubs currently hold a 2-1 series lead, having won the first two games of the series. In their last 10 games, the Cubs have gone 5-5, with a batting average of .237 and a 4.55 ERA, while the Cardinals have struggled with a 4-6 record, a .257 batting average, and a 5.31 ERA.
Historically, these two teams have a fierce rivalry, with games often going down to the wire. The Cubs have a strong home record at 29-26, while the Cardinals have struggled on the road with a 28-29 record. Key players to watch include Cody Bellinger for the Cubs, who leads with a .276 batting average and 42 RBIs, and Nolan Gorman for the Cardinals, who has 19 home runs this season. The pitching matchup features Miles Mikolas (STL) with an 8-8 record and a 4.99 ERA against Justin Steele (CHC), who holds a 2-5 record with a 3.38 ERA. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 runs.
Player Prop Odds
Isaac Paredes
- Doubles: Over 0.5 (+360) / Under (-600)
- Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+400) / Under (-700)
- RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145) / Under (-200)
- Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130) / Under (-175)
- Singles: Over 0.5 (+110) / Under (-150)
- Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125) / Under (-170)
Player Analysis
Isaac Paredes has emerged as a key contributor for the Tampa Bay Rays this season. He boasts an impressive .276 batting average with 19 home runs and 64 RBIs. Over the past 10 games, Paredes has been particularly productive, hitting .289 with a .378 on-base percentage. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset in the lineup, especially in high-pressure situations. His recent performance suggests he’s capable of hitting a home run or driving in runs, making the prop bets on RBIs and home runs particularly enticing.
Opposing Analysis
The Chicago Cubs’ pitching staff, led by Justin Steele, has been relatively solid, especially against right-handed batters like Paredes. Steele has a 3.38 ERA this season and has averaged 9 strikeouts per 9 innings. However, he does allow an average of 1.5 home runs per 9 innings, which could present an opportunity for Paredes to capitalize with the long ball. Additionally, the Cubs’ bullpen has been inconsistent, which could lead to late-game opportunities for Paredes to drive in runs or score himself.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 8-8 | 4.99 | 83 |
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 2-5 | 3.38 | 98 |
Team Previews
St. Louis Cardinals: The Cardinals have struggled with consistency this season, sitting second in the NL Central. They have a team batting average of .233, ranking 24th in the league, and have given up an average of 4.54 runs per game. Their pitching, however, has been relatively strong with an ERA of 3.78, ranking 8th in the league. The Cardinals’ ability to score runs will be crucial in this matchup, especially against a Cubs team that has shown vulnerability at times.
Chicago Cubs: The Cubs have a batting average of .246, which ranks 13th overall. They have scored 466 runs, placing them 22nd in the league. Their pitching staff, particularly Steele, has been a bright spot, with a 4.06 team ERA that ranks 18th. The Cubs have relied on their pitching to keep games close, which can limit scoring opportunities for their opponents but also leaves room for individual performances like those of Paredes.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| M. Siani | CF | Probable for Aug 4 |
| A. Alzolay | RP | Out for the season |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Texas | W 10-1 | W |
| Texas | W 8-1 | W |
| Washington | L 14-3 | L |
| Washington | L 10-8 F/10 | L |
| Pittsburgh | W 2-1 | W |
Prediction
Given Paredes’ recent form and the Cubs' pitching vulnerabilities, I predict that Isaac Paredes will hit over 0.5 home runs (+400) in this matchup. The odds favor his ability to capitalize on Steele's tendency to give up home runs, and with the Cardinals needing to score runs to secure a win, I expect Paredes to play a pivotal role in the offense.
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