Kingpin analysis

Pete Crow-Armstrong Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4

Pete Crow-Armstrong Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4
Pete Crow-Armstrong Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4

Pete Crow-Armstrong Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4


Game Summary

The St. Louis Cardinals (57-54) take on the Chicago Cubs (54-59) in the final game of their series at Wrigley Field on August 4, 2024. Currently, the Cubs lead the series 2-1 after winning the first two games of this three-game set. The Cubs have shown resilience at home, boasting a 29-26 record in Chicago and have performed particularly well in games where they restrict their opponents from hitting home runs, with a record of 24-15 in such encounters. In contrast, the Cardinals have struggled on the road, posting a 28-29 record away from home, but they thrive offensively, with an impressive 35-10 record in games where they score at least five runs.

Historically, the teams have faced each other 12 times this season, with the Cardinals holding a slight edge in the season series at 7-5. On the individual front, Cody Bellinger leads the Cubs with a .276 batting average and has been a consistent performer, while Nolan Gorman is the standout for the Cardinals with 19 home runs. Both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the NL Central as the season progresses, making this matchup crucial for playoff aspirations.


Player Prop Odds

- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400) / Under -700

- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200) / Under -280

- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+125) / Under -170

- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+115) / Under -155

- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+270) / Under -400

- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-195) / Under +140


Player Analysis

Pete Crow-Armstrong has emerged as a promising talent for the Chicago Cubs this season. He brings a combination of speed and hitting ability to the table, making him a valuable asset in the lineup. With a current batting average hovering around .260, he has shown potential, especially in clutch situations. His ability to get on base and contribute to scoring opportunities is crucial for the Cubs as they aim to build momentum in their postseason chase. Armstrong has demonstrated a knack for hitting doubles and driving in runs, which is reflected in his prop odds, especially at +200 for RBIs and +400 for doubles.


Opposing Analysis

The St. Louis Cardinals have had their difficulties in containing aggressive hitters like Crow-Armstrong, especially with the struggles of their pitcher Miles Mikolas, who has a 4.99 ERA. This gives Crow-Armstrong a favorable matchup, as Mikolas has been prone to allowing extra-base hits. The Cubs' offense will look to exploit this weakness, and Crow-Armstrong's ability to capitalize on Mikolas' mistakes could lead to a productive outing for him.


Pitching Probables

Pitcher Team W-L ERA Strikeouts
Miles Mikolas St. Louis Cardinals 8-8 4.99 83
Justin Steele Chicago Cubs 2-5 3.38 98

Team Previews

The Chicago Cubs are currently positioned fifth in the NL Central with a record of 54-59. Their offense has been inconsistent, averaging a .246 batting average and scoring 466 runs, placing them 22nd in the league. However, they have a strong relief pitching staff with a team ERA of 4.06, which ranks 18th overall. The Cubs will rely on their bullpen's strength to maintain leads and support their starting pitchers like Steele, who has been one of the more reliable arms in their rotation.

On the other hand, the St. Louis Cardinals are sitting second in the NL Central with a record of 57-54. They have been having a tough season, particularly on the road with a 28-29 record. Their hitting stats reflect a team batting average of .233, ranked 24th in the league, and they have scored 472 runs. However, their starting pitching has been a bright spot, boasting an ERA of 3.78, which ranks 8th in the league. This matchup could be pivotal as both teams look to gain ground in the tightly contested division.


Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Drew Rom SP Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
Mike Siani CF Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
Ian Happ LF Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
Tomas Nido C Expected to be out until at least Sep 2

Recent Games

Team Opponent Score W/L
Cardinals Texas W 10-1 W
Cardinals Texas W 8-1 W
Cardinals Chicago L 5-4 L
Cubs St. Louis L 5-4 L
Cubs St. Louis W 6-3 W

Prediction

Pick: Over 0.5 RBIs for Pete Crow-Armstrong (+200). Given his recent form and the favorable matchup against Mikolas, Crow-Armstrong is likely to have opportunities to drive in runs. With the Cubs looking to secure a series victory, expect Crow-Armstrong to capitalize on scoring chances throughout the game.


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Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

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