Dansby Swanson Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4

Game Summary

The St. Louis Cardinals will face off against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on August 4, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. This matchup marks the 13th meeting of the season between these two teams, with the Cardinals currently leading the season series 7-5. The Cubs are looking to build on their recent success after winning two out of the last three games in the series, including a tight 5-4 victory yesterday. The Cubs are 29-26 at home this season and boast a respectable 24-15 record in games without allowing a home run.

As for the Cardinals, they are currently 57-54 and have a road record of 28-29. St. Louis has shown that they can be dangerous when they score five or more runs, holding a 35-10 record in such games. Both teams have been inconsistent lately, with the Cubs going 5-5 in their last ten games, while the Cardinals have struggled, posting a 4-6 record during the same stretch. This game presents a crucial opportunity for both teams as they look to solidify their positions in the tightly contested NL Central.

In terms of player performances, Cody Bellinger is leading the Cubs with a .276 batting average and 42 RBIs, while Nolan Gorman is the standout for the Cardinals, leading his team with 19 home runs. The pitching matchup features Miles Mikolas (Cardinals) with a 4.99 ERA and Justin Steele (Cubs) with a more favorable 3.38 ERA.

Player Prop Odds

Dansby Swanson Player Prop Odds:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+380), Under -650
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+475), Under -900
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+175), Under -240
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130), Under -175
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115), Under -120
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125), Under -175

Player Analysis

Dansby Swanson has been a consistent presence in the Cubs' lineup, showcasing his ability to contribute to the team's offensive efforts. He has a batting average of around .260 this season, with decent power and speed metrics. His ability to hit doubles and singles makes him a valuable asset in scoring situations. Swanson has also shown an ability to drive in runs, making his RBI prop a favorable bet, especially in games where the Cubs are expected to score. Recent trends suggest that he has been hitting well, especially against right-handed pitchers, which aligns well with the matchup against Miles Mikolas.

Opposing Analysis

On the other hand, the Cardinals' pitching has struggled with consistency. Miles Mikolas, while experienced, has a 4.99 ERA and has allowed 18 home runs this season. His tendency to give up hits can play into Swanson's favor, especially if he can get on base early. The Cardinals rank 8th in the league with a 3.78 team ERA, but Mikolas has not been as effective this year, particularly against left-handed hitters, which may benefit Swanson in this matchup.

Pitching Probables

Team Previews

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have a mixed record this season, currently holding a record of 57-54. With a team batting average of .233, they are ranked 24th in the league, which indicates a struggle to consistently generate runs. Despite this, they have shown flashes of offensive potential, especially in games where they score at least five runs. Their pitching has been better than average, ranking in the top 10 for team ERA, but they must tighten up their defense to close out close games.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs, standing at 54-59, are fighting to stay competitive in the NL Central. While their batting average is higher than the Cardinals at .246, they struggle to bring runners home, evident in their low run total. The Cubs have a strong bullpen, leading the league in saves, but they have suffered from injuries that have affected their rotation. The return of key players will be crucial as they head into the final stretch of the season.

Team Injuries

Recent Games

Prediction