Kingpin analysis
Alex Bregman MLB Props - Astros vs Athletics 7/22
MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics
Preview:
The Houston Astros (52-47) take on the Oakland Athletics (39-62) at the Oakland Coliseum on Monday, July 22, 2024, at 9:40 PM EDT. The Astros are coming off a recent series against the Seattle Mariners, where they went 2-1. The Athletics also had a recent series against the Los Angeles Angels, going 2-1. The Astros lead the season series against the Athletics 6-1, highlighting their dominance in the matchup.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the odds for Alex Bregman's player props tonight:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+265)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+195)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-140)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-145)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-105)
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Player Analysis: Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman has been a consistent performer for the Houston Astros this season. With a batting average of .257, 18 home runs, and 59 RBIs, Bregman is a key player in the Astros' lineup. In his last 10 games, Bregman has been hitting .275 with 2 home runs and 8 RBIs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset, especially in high-leverage situations. Bregman's plate discipline and contact skills are reflected in his high on-base percentage of .353.
Opposing Analysis: Oakland Athletics Pitching
The Oakland Athletics will be starting Hogan Harris, who has a 3.40 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 47.2 innings pitched this season. Harris has allowed 46 hits and 23 walks while striking out 35 batters. While his ERA is respectable, his WHIP indicates that he allows too many base runners, which could be problematic against a disciplined hitter like Bregman. The Athletics' bullpen has a collective ERA of 4.44, which ranks 24th in the league, further highlighting their struggles on the mound.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 4-7 | 5.63 | 1.60 | 93 |
| Hogan Harris (OAK) | 1-3 | 3.40 | 1.45 | 35 |
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Team Previews
Houston Astros
Hitting: The Astros rank 26th in hits (773) and 21st in runs (416) with a team batting average of .230, which is 28th in the league. Despite the low average, they have power hitters like Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman who can change the game with one swing.
Relief Pitching: The Astros bullpen has managed 18 saves, ranking 28th in the league, with an overall ERA of 4.44. This shows that while they can be effective, they have had their struggles.
Fielding: Defensively, the Astros have committed 61 errors, ranking 5th in the league. This indicates a solid defensive unit that can back up their pitching staff.
Starting Pitchers: The Astros' starting rotation has been up and down, with injuries to key players like Justin Verlander and Cristian Javier. Spencer Arrighetti, set to start this game, has struggled with a 5.63 ERA and 1.60 WHIP.
Oakland Athletics
Hitting: The Athletics rank 2nd in hits (888) and 9th in runs (468) with a team batting average of .261, which is the best in the league. Players like Brent Rooker and Lawrence Butler have been key contributors.
Relief Pitching: The Athletics bullpen has managed 25 saves, ranking 15th, with an overall ERA of 4.00. This shows a more consistent bullpen performance compared to the Astros.
Fielding: Defensively, the Athletics have committed 41 errors, ranking 29th in the league. This indicates that their defense has been a weak point.
Starting Pitchers: The Athletics' starting rotation has also had its challenges. Hogan Harris, who will start this game, has a respectable 3.40 ERA but allows too many base runners with a 1.45 WHIP.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Caratini | C | 10-Day IL (hip) |
| Justin Verlander | SP | 15-Day IL (neck) |
| Cristian Javier | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Kyle Tucker | OF | 10-Day IL (shin) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Wilson | SS | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Luis Medina | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Tyler Soderstrom | C | 10-Day IL (undisclosed) |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | 3-0 | W |
| @ Seattle | 4-2 | W |
| @ Seattle | 4-6 | L |
| @ Oakland | 9:40 PM | Upcoming |
| @ Oakland | 9:40 PM | Upcoming |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Los Angeles | 13-3 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | 8-2 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | 5-8 | L |
| vs Houston | 9:40 PM | Upcoming |
| vs Houston | 9:40 PM | Upcoming |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 total bases for Alex Bregman (-105)
Reasoning: Given Bregman's recent form and Hogan Harris's tendency to allow base runners, Bregman is well-positioned to exceed 1.5 total bases. His consistent ability to make contact and hit for power, combined with the Athletics' struggling bullpen, makes this a strong pick.
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