Soccer Best Bets - August 23, 2026

Soccer best bets for August 23, 2026. This card covers all 15 scheduled games and ranks the bets from strongest to weakest. The order matters: the first plays have the best mix of price and current win probability.

Use the listed sportsbook price as the target. A worse line can wipe out the value, especially on favorites and alternate spreads. Odds move throughout the day, so compare books before placing anything.

Soccer best bets ranked

1. #1 Liverpool vs Newcastle United: Newcastle United at +310
2. #2 Bournemouth vs Manchester City: Bournemouth at +540
3. #3 Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes: Draw at +400
4. #4 Barcelona vs Elche CF: Elche CF at +800
5. #5 Juventus vs Frosinone: Draw at +385
6. #6 Real Racing Club de Santander vs Getafe: Real Racing Club de Santander at +315
7. #7 Lille vs Angers: Over 2.5 at +105
8. #8 Lecce vs Venezia: Lecce at +260
9. #9 Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid: Under 2.5 at +105
10. #10 Sassuolo vs Atalanta BC: Draw at +350
11. #11 AC Milan vs Torino: Torino at +365
12. #12 Aston Villa vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Aston Villa at +223
13. #13 AS Monaco vs Le Havre: Le Havre +0.5 at -105
14. #14 Sporting Kansas City vs Atlanta United FC: Sporting Kansas City at +360
15. #15 New York City FC vs New England Revolution: Draw at +275

#1 Liverpool vs Newcastle United

Best bet: Newcastle United (+310) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #1

Newcastle United is available at +310 at BetRivers. The no-vig market is 25.3% compared with a 24.4% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Newcastle United at +310 (BetRivers) — 25.3% market win probability vs 24.4% break-even.
• Spread: Liverpool -0.5 at -107 (LowVig) — 50.3% market win probability vs 51.7% break-even.
• Over / Under: Over 3.5 at +125 (Bovada) — 42.7% market win probability vs 44.4% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#2 Bournemouth vs Manchester City

Best bet: Bournemouth (+540) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #2

Bournemouth is available at +540 at BetRivers. The no-vig market is 16.1% compared with a 15.6% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Bournemouth at +540 (BetRivers) — 16.1% market win probability vs 15.6% break-even.
• Spread: Bournemouth +1 at +115 (LowVig) — 45.3% market win probability vs 46.5% break-even.
• Over / Under: Under 3.5 at -128 (LowVig) — 54.4% market win probability vs 56.1% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#3 Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes

Best bet: Draw (+400) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #3

Draw is available at +400 at DraftKings. The no-vig market is 20.5% compared with a 20% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Draw at +400 (DraftKings) — 20.5% market win probability vs 20% break-even.
• Spread: Rennes +1 at +101 (BetOnline) — 47.7% market win probability vs 49.8% break-even.
• Over / Under: Under 3.5 at -130 (Betus) — 54.6% market win probability vs 56.5% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#4 Barcelona vs Elche CF

Best bet: Elche CF (+800) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #4

Elche CF is available at +800 at BetRivers. The no-vig market is 11.4% compared with a 11.1% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Elche CF at +800 (BetRivers) — 11.4% market win probability vs 11.1% break-even.
• Spread: Elche CF +1.5 at -105 (Betus) — 49% market win probability vs 51.2% break-even.
• Over / Under: Under 3 at +115 (Betus) — 44.7% market win probability vs 46.5% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#5 Juventus vs Frosinone

Best bet: Draw (+385) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #5

Draw is available at +385 at LowVig. The no-vig market is 20.9% compared with a 20.6% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Draw at +385 (LowVig) — 20.9% market win probability vs 20.6% break-even.
• Spread: Frosinone +1 at +125 (Betus) — 43% market win probability vs 44.4% break-even.
• Over / Under: Under 2.5 at +105 (Betus) — 47.5% market win probability vs 48.8% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#6 Real Racing Club de Santander vs Getafe

Best bet: Real Racing Club de Santander (+315) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #6

Real Racing Club de Santander is available at +315 at BetOnline. The no-vig market is 24.2% compared with a 24.1% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Real Racing Club de Santander at +315 (BetOnline) — 24.2% market win probability vs 24.1% break-even.
• Spread: Real Racing Club de Santander +0.5 at -137 (Betus) — 55.6% market win probability vs 57.8% break-even.
• Over / Under: Over 2 at +106 (Betus) — 46.5% market win probability vs 48.5% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#7 Lille vs Angers

Best bet: Over 2.5 (+105) · Over / Under · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #7

Over 2.5 is available at +105 at Bovada. The no-vig market is 48.6% compared with a 48.8% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Draw at +289 (BetOnline) — 25.1% market win probability vs 25.7% break-even.
• Spread: Lille -0.5 at -137 (BetOnline) — 55.8% market win probability vs 57.8% break-even.
• Over / Under: Over 2.5 at +105 (Bovada) — 48.6% market win probability vs 48.8% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#8 Lecce vs Venezia

Best bet: Lecce (+260) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #8

Lecce is available at +260 at FanDuel. The no-vig market is 27.7% compared with a 27.8% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Lecce at +260 (FanDuel) — 27.7% market win probability vs 27.8% break-even.
• Spread: Venezia -0.5 at +130 (Betus) — 42.2% market win probability vs 43.5% break-even.
• Over / Under: Over 2.5 at +130 (Betus) — 42.3% market win probability vs 43.5% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#9 Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid

Best bet: Under 2.5 (+105) · Over / Under · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #9

Under 2.5 is available at +105 at Betus. The no-vig market is 48.5% compared with a 48.8% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Villarreal at +320 (FanDuel) — 23.2% market win probability vs 23.8% break-even.
• Spread: Villarreal +0.5 at -102 (Bovada) — 49% market win probability vs 50.5% break-even.
• Over / Under: Under 2.5 at +105 (Betus) — 48.5% market win probability vs 48.8% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#10 Sassuolo vs Atalanta BC

Best bet: Draw (+350) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #10

Draw is available at +350 at LowVig. The no-vig market is 21.7% compared with a 22.2% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Draw at +350 (LowVig) — 21.7% market win probability vs 22.2% break-even.
• Spread: Sassuolo +1 at -102 (Bovada) — 49% market win probability vs 50.5% break-even.
• Over / Under: Over 2.5 at -143 (Bovada) — 56.2% market win probability vs 58.8% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#11 AC Milan vs Torino

Best bet: Torino (+365) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #11

Torino is available at +365 at LowVig. The no-vig market is 21% compared with a 21.5% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Torino at +365 (LowVig) — 21% market win probability vs 21.5% break-even.
• Spread: AC Milan -0.5 at -125 (Betus) — 53.4% market win probability vs 55.6% break-even.
• Over / Under: Over 2.5 at -110 (Bovada) — 50.3% market win probability vs 52.4% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#12 Aston Villa vs Brighton and Hove Albion

Best bet: Aston Villa (+223) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #12

Aston Villa is available at +223 at LowVig. The no-vig market is 30.2% compared with a 31% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Aston Villa at +223 (LowVig) — 30.2% market win probability vs 31% break-even.
• Spread: Aston Villa +0.5 at -138 (LowVig) — 56.3% market win probability vs 58% break-even.
• Over / Under: Over 2.5 at -134 (Bovada) — 54.9% market win probability vs 57.3% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#13 AS Monaco vs Le Havre

Best bet: Le Havre +0.5 (-105) · Spread · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #13

Le Havre +0.5 is available at -105 at Bovada. The no-vig market is 49.9% compared with a 51.2% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Le Havre at +280 (BetRivers) — 25.5% market win probability vs 26.3% break-even.
• Spread: Le Havre +0.5 at -105 (Bovada) — 49.9% market win probability vs 51.2% break-even.
• Over / Under: Over 3 at -105 (Bovada) — 49.4% market win probability vs 51.2% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#14 Sporting Kansas City vs Atlanta United FC

Best bet: Sporting Kansas City (+360) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #14

Sporting Kansas City is available at +360 at FanDuel. The no-vig market is 21.2% compared with a 21.7% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Sporting Kansas City at +360 (FanDuel) — 21.2% market win probability vs 21.7% break-even.
• Spread: Sporting Kansas City +1 at -130 (LowVig) — 54.3% market win probability vs 56.5% break-even.
• Over / Under: Under 3 at +105 (Bovada) — 47.2% market win probability vs 48.8% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

#15 New York City FC vs New England Revolution

Best bet: Draw (+275) · Moneyline · MARKET LEAN

Why this bet ranks #15

Draw is available at +275 at Betus. The no-vig market is 25.9% compared with a 26.7% break-even rate at that price. It ranks here after comparing the available price with the consensus market probability. The number is more important than the team name: if the price moves materially past the listed target, the bet should move down the card.

Moneyline, spread and total

• Moneyline: Draw at +275 (Betus) — 25.9% market win probability vs 26.7% break-even.
• Spread: New York City FC 0 at +115 (LowVig) — 44.7% market win probability vs 46.5% break-even.
• Over / Under: Under 2.5 at +112 (BetRivers) — 44.2% market win probability vs 47.2% break-even.

What could change the bet

Confirm team news, absences, and weather before kickoff. A key attacker or goalkeeper missing can move the moneyline and totals. Recheck the price after confirmed lineups.

Shop this matchup across multiple sportsbooks. For the same selection, take the highest plus price or the lowest amount of juice. On spreads, take the extra half-point when it is available; on totals, compare both the number and price before deciding.

Final Soccer betting card

The list above is already ordered from best to worst. Start at the top, demand the listed price, and skip any play after a bad line move. Smaller edges belong lower on the card and should not be treated like the top bet.

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Bet only what you can afford to lose. Odds and lineups can change.