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MLB Player Props Advice: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals - 07/28

MLB Player Props Advice: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals - 07/28
Photo Credit: © Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
As the Kansas City Royals (57-48) prepare to host the Chicago Cubs (50-56) at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:10 p.m. EDT, both teams look to clinch the three-game series. The Royals, currently third in the AL Central, boast a strong home record of 36-21 and have been hitting well, with a team batting average of .251, ranking 10th in MLB. Meanwhile, the Cubs, fifth in the NL Central, have struggled on the road with a 23-31 record but have shown power, with a 20-6 record in games where they hit two or more home runs.
Recent performances indicate a balanced matchup. The Royals have gone 5-5 in their last ten games, batting .282 with a 3.89 ERA and outscoring opponents by nine runs. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 4-6, hitting just .219 with a 3.24 ERA and being outscored by two runs. Key players to watch include Bobby Witt Jr. for the Royals, who is hitting .342 with 18 home runs and 71 RBIs, and Ian Happ for the Cubs, who has 16 home runs and 60 RBIs.
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Player Prop Odds
Salvador Perez Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +280
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +175
- Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +350
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over -110
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -135
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -145
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over -120
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Player Analysis
Salvador Perez has been a consistent performer for the Kansas City Royals this season. With 19 home runs and 52 RBIs, Perez is an offensive force who can change the game with a single swing. His batting average of .251 complements his power, making him a well-rounded threat at the plate. Perez's recent performances include multiple clutch hits, which have been pivotal in the Royals' current standing. His ability to hit for power and average makes him a valuable asset in prop betting markets, especially for home runs and RBIs.
Opposing Analysis
Facing Perez will be Chicago Cubs pitcher Javier Assad, who has a 4-3 record with a 3.15 ERA and 81 strikeouts over 88.2 innings. Assad has shown effectiveness but has been prone to giving up the long ball, with 12 home runs allowed this season. The Cubs' bullpen has also struggled at times, which could present additional opportunities for Perez to capitalize. Given the Cubs' recent pitching struggles and Perez's power, betting on Perez to hit a home run or drive in runs seems like a solid option.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4-3 | 3.15 | 81 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 7-6 | 3.23 | 146 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have been inconsistent this season, with a 50-56 record overall and a 23-31 road record. Offensively, they rank 13th in hits (865) and tied for 10th in runs scored (483). They have a team batting average of .251, tied for 10th in the league. Their pitching staff has performed better, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 7th in MLB. However, fielding errors have been an issue, with 49 errors placing them 23rd in the league.
Kansas City Royals
The Royals have a respectable 57-48 record, including a 36-21 record at home. Offensively, they have struggled at times, ranking 24th in hits (809) and runs scored (424), with a team batting average of .232, which is 26th in the league. However, their pitching staff has been solid with a 3.73 ERA, ranking 8th in MLB. Fielding has been relatively stable, with 53 errors ranking them 17th.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Nido | C | Knee | 10-Day IL |
| Ben Brown | RP | Neck | 60-Day IL |
| Luke Little | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Hayden Wesneski | SP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Jordan Wicks | SP | Oblique | 60-Day IL |
| Cody Bellinger | OF | Finger | 10-Day IL |
| Colten Brewer | RP | Hand | 60-Day IL |
| Keegan Thompson | RP | Rib | 15-Day IL |
| Yency Almonte | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Adbert Alzolay | RP | Forearm | 60-Day IL |
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Kansas City Royals
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez | C | Ankle | 10-Day IL |
| Dan Altavilla | RP | Oblique | 60-Day IL |
| Josh Taylor | RP | Biceps | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Wright | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Kansas City | 9-4 | W |
| @ Kansas City | 6-0 | L |
| vs Milwaukee | 3-2 | L |
| vs Milwaukee | 1-0 | L |
| vs Milwaukee | 3-1 | W |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | 4-9 | L |
| vs Chicago | 6-0 | W |
| vs Arizona | 6-8 | L |
| vs Arizona | 2-6 | L |
| vs Arizona | 10-4 | W |
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Prediction
Given Salvador Perez's recent form and the pitching matchup against Javier Assad, the prop bet that stands out is the Over 0.5 RBIs at -110 odds. Perez has been a clutch performer and with the Cubs' bullpen struggles, he is likely to have multiple opportunities to drive in runs.
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