MLB Player Props Betting Forecast: Pirates vs Diamondbacks 7/28
MLB Player Props Betting Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/28
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Photo Credit: © Owen Ziliak/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK
Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 28 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The game will feature two teams with contrasting recent performances. The Pirates have been solid, boasting a record of 55-50, while the Diamondbacks are at .500 with a 52-52 record. Historically, the Pirates have had the upper hand in this matchup, but the Diamondbacks are looking to turn the tide at home.
Pittsburgh has been strong offensively, ranking 8th in hits with 888 and 3rd in runs with 513. On the other hand, Arizona's offense has struggled, ranking 26th in hits and 23rd in runs. The Pirates' pitching, however, has been less impressive with a team ERA of 4.49, while the Diamondbacks' pitching staff has performed better with a team ERA of 3.78.
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Player Prop Odds
Today's player prop odds for Christian Walker include:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+350) / Under 0.5 (-550)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+400) / Under 0.5 (-700)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+150) / Under 0.5 (-210)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110) / Under 0.5 (-150)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110) / Under 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125) / Under 1.5 (-170)
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Player Analysis
Christian Walker has been a key player for the Diamondbacks this season. With a batting average of .252, he has hit 16 home runs and driven in 52 RBIs. Walker has shown a knack for delivering in clutch situations, and his power at the plate makes him a consistent threat to opposing pitchers. His recent form has been solid, making him a valuable player in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
Walker will be facing Yilber Diaz, who has struggled in his limited appearances this season. Diaz has a 5.40 ERA and has allowed 17 hits in just 15 innings pitched. The Pirates' bullpen has also been shaky, which could provide Walker with opportunities to capitalize on mistakes and put up significant numbers.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yilber Diaz (PIT) | 1-1 | 5.40 | 7 |
| Mitch Keller (ARI) | 10-5 | 3.34 | 108 |
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates' offense has been a bright spot this season. They rank 8th in the league in hits and 3rd in runs scored. Key players like Ketel Marte, who leads the team with a .296 batting average and 23 home runs, have been instrumental to their success. However, their pitching staff has struggled, with a team ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in the league. The Pirates will need their offense to continue performing at a high level to offset their pitching deficiencies.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have had a tough season offensively, ranking near the bottom in hits and runs. However, their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.78, which ranks 11th in the league. Christian Walker has been a standout player, leading the team in home runs and RBIs. The Diamondbacks will rely on their pitching and key contributions from players like Walker to secure a win.
Team Injuries
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | Sat, Jul 27 | Groin | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Sat, Jul 27 | Back | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Jared Jones | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Lat | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 2-1 F/10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Christian Walker (+125)
Given Walker's power and recent form, coupled with the struggles of Pirates' pitcher Yilber Diaz, it is a strong bet for Walker to exceed 1.5 total bases in this game. His ability to hit extra-base hits, including doubles and home runs, positions him well to surpass this mark.
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