Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, Pick and Preview, December 5 (12/5) NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, Pick and Preview, December 5 (12/5) NFL

Odds

Time 8:15 p.m. EST
Buccaneers money line -195
Buccaneers spread -3.5 (-110)
Saints money line +165
Saints spread +3.5 (-110)
Over / under 41.5

 

2022 season stats

  Tampa Bay Buccaneers New Orleans Saints
Record 5-6 4-8
Home / road record 3-3 1-4
Points per game 18.2 20.9
Points allowed per game 18.5 23.0
O/U 2-9 6-6
Pass yards per game 277.0 249.4
Rush yards per game 73.7 113.4
Total yards per game 350.5 362.5
Total yards allowed per game 337.5 344.0

 

Preview

The New Orleans Saints continue on the road and will visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday Night at the Raymond James Stadium. These teams already faced each other in Week 2 at New Orleans where the Bucs took the win 20-10.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers get here with a 5-6 record and are 3-3 at home so far this season ranking 1st in the NFC South. Last week they lost 23-17 on the road against the Browns. Tom Brady completed 29 of 43 passes for 246 yards and was sacked three times. He leads the NFC in passing with 3,051 yards and has only been intercepted twice.

Defensively, they have been great against the run allowing 123 rushing yards but have struggled against the pass allowing 214 yards. They are allowing an average of 18 points per game. Devin White has 89 tackles and also has 5.5 quarterback sacks. The leader in quarterback sacks with 6.5 is Vita Vea. 

 

New Orleans Saints

The Saints get here with a 4-8 record after getting blanked 13-0 by the 49ers last week. Andy Dalton threw for 204 yards and the Saints were held to just 63 on the ground. Injury and bad play have plagued the Saints' quarterback position all season, and as a result, they have averaged 20.8 points per game.

Eight Saints players missed practice on Friday due to a variety of injuries. The health of CBs Marshon Lattimore and Bradley Robey, as well as TE Juwan Johnson will be key.

 

BETTING TRENDS

New Orleans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against Tampa Bay.

New Orleans are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games against Tampa Bay.

New Orleans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.

New Orleans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games.

Tampa Bay are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against New Orleans.

 

Prediction

Both teams have struggled all season and they have been dealing with a lot of injuries as well. The Bucs beat the Saints in Week 2 in a low scoring game at New Orleans but they're 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games. I expect a very close game as both offenses have been struggling and with the under cashing big time for both teams I think that's the play. 

PICK: Under 41.5 (-110)

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