Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 24 (8/24): MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 24 (8/24): MLB

Credit: photo by  Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 12:35 p.m. EST
Braves money line -250
Braves run line -1.5 (-140)
Pirates money line +205
Pirates run line +1.5 (+120)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves Pittsburgh Pirates
Record 77-48 47-76
Road / home record 35-24 26-35
Last 10 record 8-2 2-8
Streak W2 L4
Over / under record 62-55-8 56-59-8
Runs / game 4.89 3.63
Runs allowed / game 3.92 5.04

 

Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Atlanta Braves will play the 3rd game of the series at the PNC Park on Wednesday. The Braves took the win 6-1 on Tuesday's game to take the lead 2-0 in the series.  Max Fried allowed only three hits in eight innings.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 77-48 record and have won 8 their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.89 runs per game. They're batting for .252 AVG, 596 runs scored in 1049 hits and 185 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 31 home runs and 78 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .292. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.92 runs per game and rank #7 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.60 ERA, 133 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:

Kyle Wright (15-5, 3.14 ERA) will be on the mound for the Braves in the 3rd game of the series. Wright grabbed the win against the Astros on Friday, allowing two runs on six hits and striking out seven batters while walking one. He has allowed 3 runs on 5 hits with 2 walks and 7 strikeouts in 6 innings against the Pirates in his career. He has been credited with the win.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 47-76 record and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.63 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 435 runs scored in 872 hits and 118 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 20, 46 RBI and batting for an average of .258.

Defensively they are allowing 5.04 runs per game and ranking #27 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.19 ERA, 124 strikeouts and 3 wins with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher:

Mitch Keller (4-9, 4.49 ERA) will be on the mound for the Pirates in the 3rd game of the series. He exited his start Tuesday against the Red Sox with shoulder fatigue after allowing 5 runs (4 earned) on 5 hits in only 2 innings. He has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 12.38 and 8 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Braves in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Atlanta Braves are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against Pittsburgh.

Atlanta Braves are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

Atlanta Braves are 3-4 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Pirates are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games against Atlanta.

 

Prediction

The Braves continue to stay hot as they have won 8 of their last 10 games and have averaged 5.7 runs per game in their last 10 games. For this game they'll send Kyle Wright to the mound who has been sharp in his last 2 starts allowing 3 runs across 12 innings pitched. The Pirates have lost 6 of their last 8 games at home and 10 of the last 12 overall. Keller will start this game who has struggled in his last 2 outings and has been pounded by the Braves in his career. Expect the Braves to continue their domination over the Pirates but I see more value on the over.

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110)

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