Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 28 (8/28): MLB

Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 28 (8/28): MLB

Credit: photo by Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 2:10 p.m. EST
Royals money line +148
Royals run line +1.5 (-105)
Padres money line -180
Padres run line -1.5 (-115)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  Kansas City Royals San Diego Padres
Record 51-77 70-58
Home / road record 31-37 35-30
Last 10 record 3-7 4-6
Streak L2 W3
Over / under record 63-60-5 57-66-4
Runs / game 3.82 4.33
Runs allowed / game 5.00 4.01

 

Preview

The Kansas City Royals and the San Diego Padres will play the 3rd game of the series at the Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium on Sunday.  The Padres took the win 4-3 on Saturday's game to take the lead 2-0 in the series. Wil Myers hit a two-run homer against his former team and Yu Darvish recovered from a rocky start.

 

Kansas City Royals

The Royals get to this game with a 51-77 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.82 runs per game. They're batting for .242 AVG, 546 runs scored in 1018 hits and 110 home runs, ranking #24 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Bobby Witt Jr is batting for a .255 AVG. 64 RBI and 18 home runs.

Defensively they are allowing 5.00 runs per game and ranking #26 in the league. Brady Singer leads the team with a 3.15 ERA, 120 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Royals.

Probable Pitcher:

Jonathan Heasley (1-7, 5.21 ERA) will be on the mound for the Royals in the 3rd game of the series. Heasley gave up four hits and four walks while striking out two over 4.2 scoreless innings in a 7-3 loss to the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. He did not factor into the decision.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 70-58 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.33 runs per game and they're batting for .240 AVG, have 546 runs scored in 1018 hits and 110 home runs, ranking #15 in offense in the league behind the Houston Astros. Manny Machado is leading the team with 22 home runs and 76 RBI and a batting average of .294.

Defensively they are allowing 4.01 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.91 ERA, 124 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:  Sean Manaea (7-6, 4.64 ERA)

Manaea will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Padres. Manaea earned the win Sunday over the Nationals. He allowed a run on five hits and struck out four without walking a batter through seven innings. He is 2-0 with an ERA of 3.63 and 14 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Royals in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego are 3-4 SU in their last 8 games against Kansas City.

San Diego are 6-9 SU in their last 15 games on the road.

San Diego are 5-8 SU in their last 13 games against an opponent in the American League.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

 

Prediction

The Padres struggled in their last series vs Guardians but they're looking much better on this on vs Royals and already secured the series. For this game they'll send Sean Manaea who's coming from a solid start vs Nationals but has struggled this season. Jonathan Heasley will take the mound for the Royals who's also coming from a solid start vs Dbacks but has been awful this season. Expect the Padres to pound Heasley early in the game but honestly I don't trust Manaea so I think the best play is the over.

PICK: Over 9.5 (-110)

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