Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 24 (11/24) NFL

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 24 (11/24) NFL

 

Odds

Time 12:30 p.m. EST
Bills money line -460
Bills spread -9.5 (-110)
Lions money line +340
Lions spread +9.5 (-110)
Over / under 54.5

 

2022 season stats

  Buffalo Bills Detroit Lions
Record 7-3 4-6
Home / road record 3-2 2-3
Points per game 28.3 25.3
Points allowed per game 17.5 28.9
Pass yards per game 293.0 244.0
Rush yards per game 134.0 132.0
Total yards per game 427.0 377.0
Total yards allowed per game 346.0 427.0

 

Preview

The Detroit Lions return home to host the Buffalo Bills on Thanksgiving Day at the Ford Field. These teams haven't met since 18-19 season where the Bills took the win 14-13 at home.

 

Buffalo Bills

The Bills get here with a 7-3 record overall and are 3-2 on the road so far ranking 2nd in the AFC East. In their last game they beat the Cleveland Browns 31-23 in Detroit as they had to play there due to the weather conditions in Buffalo. Allen was 18 of 27 for 197 yards with a touchdown and no turnovers. He threw six of his NFL-high 10 interceptions over the previous three games and fumbled a snap in the end zone during last week's collapse against Minnesota. Bills running backs Singletary and James Cook each ran for 86 yards, taking pressure off Allen to make plays through the air.

Defensively the Bills are the 2nd best in the league allowing only an average of 17.5 points and they also rank #7 against the run allowing only 106.2 rushing yards per game and 239 passing yards.

 

Detroit Lions

The Lions have won their last 3 games and are 2-3 at home ranking 2nd in the NFC North. In their last game, they beat New York Giants 31-18 on the road. Jamaal Williams ran for a career-high three touchdowns. Williams ran for a 4-yard TD and two 1-yard scores. Defensive end Aidan Hutchinson, the No. 2 overall pick in the draft in April, intercepted a pass and recovered a fumble to help set up 14 points. Jared Goff and the Lions' offense didn't have a turnover for the second straight game.

This team ranks #32 in defense allowing 28.2 points per game, 244.3 passing yards and 132.7 rushing yds.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games.

Buffalo are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games.

Buffalo are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Detroit.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road.

Detroit are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 6 games against Buffalo.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Lions are starting to look better for the first time in the season as they have won three games in a row for the first time in five years but this time they'll face the 2nd best defense in the NFL. The Bills are heavy contenders for the Super Bowl this year and just bounced back after losing 2 straight games. The Lions have played better defense lately and held the Giants to 18 pts and with the over under line climbed to 54.5 points I think the under is the play. 

PICK: Under 54.5 (-110)

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