Baylor Bears vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Pick and Preview, February 28 (2/28): NCAAB

Credit: photo by Chris Jones-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time	9:00 p.m. EST
Baylor money line	-125
Baylor spread	-1.5
Texas money line	+105
Texas spread	+1.5
Over / under	134.5

 

2021-2022 season stats

	Baylor Bears	Texas Longhorns
Record	24-5	21-8
Road / home record	7-3	16-2
Streak	W3	W2
Points per game	77.17	69.07
Points allowed per game	63.28	58.79
Rebounds per game	36.35	32.27
Rebounds allowed per game	31.33	30.21
Over / under record	16-13	14-15

 

Preview

The Baylor Bears will visit the Texas Longhorns on Monday night. These teams met in December and the Bears beat the Longhorns 80-63 and covered the spread as -5.5 pts favorites.

BAYLOR BEARS

The Bears have won 3 straight games and are coming off a huge 80-70 home win over the No. 6 Kansas Jayhawks on Saturday night, covering as three-point favorite. They're 12-4 against Big 12 opponents. Baylor averages 77.17 points and has outscored opponents by 14.5 points per game.

Adam Flagler is shooting 39.2% from beyond the arc with 2.3 made 3-pointers per game for the Bears, while averaging 13.7 points and 3.1 assists. Matthew Mayer is shooting 42.5% and averaging 7.1 points over the last 10 games for Baylor.

Defensively are allowing 63.28 ppg and 31.33 rebounds per game as they rank #29 in defense.

TEXAS LONGHORNS

The Longhorns have won their last 2 games and are 16-2 at home this season. Texas' offense has been weak, averaging 69.1 points per game and 32.6% from long distance but defensively are one of the best teams in the nation and currently ranked #5 in defense allowing 58.79 ppg, 41.6% FG and 30.21 rebounds per game.

Allen leads the team with 12.4 points and 6.5 rebounds per game on 53.2% shooting from the field. Carr adds 11.1 points and 3.1 assists per game, while Andrew Jones averages 11.1 points and 1.2 steals per game.

BETTING TRENDS

Baylor are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.

Baylor are 9-1 SU in their last 5 games against Texas.

Baylor are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas.

Texas are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.

Texas are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games at home.

Prediction

Texas has been great at home and holding their opponents to 52 ppg as hosts but the lack of offense will continue to be a problem when they face teams like Baylor who's averaging 72.64 ppg on the road. The Bears are struggling to cover the spread lately but this is practically winning the game so I'll take the money line. 

PICK: Baylor ML (-125)

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