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MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Braves vs Cardinals 7/21

© Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Moneyline Best Picks: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals
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Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Truist Park on July 21. Both teams are vying for a crucial win as they look to solidify their standings in their respective divisions. The Braves come into this matchup with a record of 53-42, a solid position that reflects their strong performance this season, especially when playing at home where they have a 29-17 record. On the other hand, the Cardinals are not far behind with a 50-46 record and have shown resilience on the road with a 24-24 record. This game promises to be a competitive one, with both teams having their strengths and weaknesses.
Spencer Schwellenbach will be the probable starting pitcher for the Braves. Schwellenbach has a 3-4 record with an ERA of 4.43. While his stats indicate some struggles, he has the ability to perform well under pressure, especially at home. The Cardinals will counter with Miles Mikolas, who has a 7-8 record and an ERA of 5.13. Mikolas has had a challenging season but has shown moments of brilliance that could be pivotal in this game.
Both teams have key players who can make a difference. For the Braves, Marcell Ozuna has been a standout performer with a batting average of .303, 26 home runs, and 77 RBIs. The Cardinals will look to Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman to lead their offense, with Burleson boasting a .288 batting average and Gorman hitting 17 home runs so far this season.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Braves Spread | -1.5 (+120) |
| Cardinals Spread | +1.5 (-140) |
| Braves Moneyline | -162 |
| Cardinals Moneyline | +136 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 3-4 | 4.43 | 41 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 7-8 | 5.13 | 77 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
Hitting: The Braves have been somewhat inconsistent at the plate this season, ranking 22nd in runs scored (407) and 17th in batting average (.241). However, Marcell Ozuna has been a bright spot with a .303 average, 26 home runs, and 77 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Braves’ bullpen has been solid, with their relievers combining for 26 saves, tied for 10th in the league. Their pitching staff also boasts the best ERA in baseball at 3.40.
Fielding: Defensively, the Braves have committed 39 errors, which ranks them 30th. This is an area they need to improve to support their pitching staff better.
Starting Pitchers: Spencer Schwellenbach has had a mixed season with a 3-4 record and a 4.43 ERA. His ability to limit walks and home runs will be crucial against a potent Cardinals lineup.
St. Louis Cardinals
Hitting: The Cardinals rank 24th in runs scored (398) but have a respectable team batting average of .245, ranking 13th. Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman will be key figures in their offense.
Relief Pitching: St. Louis has the best bullpen in terms of saves with 35, indicating their ability to close out games effectively.
Fielding: The Cardinals have committed 46 errors, ranking them tied for 23rd, which is another area they must improve upon.
Starting Pitchers: Miles Mikolas has had an up-and-down season with a 7-8 record and a 5.13 ERA. His performance will be critical in keeping the Cardinals competitive in this matchup.
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
| Jimmy Herget | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
| Hurston Waldrep | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 20 |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
| Tommy Edman | 2B | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Betting Trends
- Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- Cardinals are 5-5 in their last 10 road games.
- Braves are 4-6 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Cardinals are 4-6 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| vs St. Louis | LIVE | NaN |
| vs St. Louis | 7:20 PM | NaN |
| vs St. Louis | 1:35 PM | NaN |
| vs Cincinnati | 7:20 PM | NaN |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Atlanta | Postponed | Postponed |
| @ Atlanta | LIVE | NaN |
| @ Atlanta | 7:20 PM | NaN |
| @ Atlanta | 1:35 PM | NaN |
| @ Pittsburgh | 6:40 PM | NaN |
Team Rankings
| Category | Braves Rank | Cardinals Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 20th | 15th |
| Starting Pitching | 1st | 24th |
| Relief Pitching | 10th | 1st |
| Fielding | 30th | 23rd |
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Significant Betting Stats
- The Braves have a 53-42 overall record, placing them 8th in the league.
- The Cardinals have a 50-46 overall record, placing them 13th in the league.
- The Braves have the best ERA in the league at 3.40.
- The Cardinals lead the league in saves with 35.
- Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 26 home runs and 77 RBIs.
- Alec Burleson leads the Cardinals in batting average at .288.
- The Braves are 29-17 at home this season.
- The Cardinals are 24-24 on the road this season.
- The Braves have committed 39 errors, ranking them 30th in the league.
- The Cardinals have committed 46 errors, ranking them 23rd in the league.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game at Truist Park is intermittent clouds with a temperature of 79°F. For more detailed weather updates, you can visit AccuWeather.
Prediction
Pick: Braves Moneyline (-162)
The Atlanta Braves are the favorites in this matchup, and for good reason. They have a strong home record and the best ERA in the league, which should help them contain the Cardinals' offense. Spencer Schwellenbach's performance will be key, but with Marcell Ozuna anchoring the offense, the Braves have the tools needed to secure a win. The Cardinals, while competitive, have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road. Therefore, the Braves Moneyline is a solid pick for this game.
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