Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 23 (6/23): MLB

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 23 (6/23): MLB

Credit: photo by Nick Wosika-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:10 p.m. EST
Guardians money line +113
Guardians run line +1.5 (-160)
Twins money line -135
Twins run line -1.5 (+135)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  Cleveland Guardians Minnesota Twins
Record 36-28 38-32
Road / home record 20-18 20-16
Last 10 record 8-2 4-6
Streak W2 L1
Over / under record 32-28-4 33-32-5
Runs / game 4.59 4.42
Runs allowed / game 4.02 4.07

 

Preview

The Cleveland Guardians and the Minnesota Twins will play the 3rd game of the series at the Target Field on Thursday. The Guardians stole the win from the Twins scoring 4 runs in the 9th inning and win the game 11-10.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians get here with a 36-28 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.6 runs per game and allowing 4 runs. Jose Ramirez leads the team batting for .302 avg, 16 home runs and 62 RBI. 

Shane Bieber leads the pitching staff with a 3.01 ERA, 84 strikeouts and 3 wins recorded for the Guardians.

Probable Pitcher:  Zach Plesac (2-4, 4.41 ERA)

Plesac will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Guardians. In six innings against the Dodgers on Friday, Plesac gave up a run on five hits, two walks, and one strikeout. He didn't factor in the decision. He has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 6.26 and 12 strikeouts in 4 appearances versus the Twins in his career.

Minnesota Twins

The Twins get here with a 38-32 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.4 runs per game and allowing 4 runs. Luis Arraez is batting for .355 AVG. Byron Buxton leads with 33 RBI and 19 home runs.

Joe Ryan allowed 4 runs in 4.1 innings but still leads the team with a 2.81 ERA, 45 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded for the Twins.

Probable Pitcher:  Devin Smeltzer (3-1, 3.52 ERA)

Smeltzer will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Twins. Smeltzer suffered the loss over Arizona on Friday after giving up seven runs (six earned) on nine hits, two walks, and three strikeouts in 4.1 innings. He has a 1-2 record with an ERA of 5.33 and 16 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Guardians in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Cleveland are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home.

Prediction

The Guardians have stolen both of the first 2 games of the series to the Twins at the very end of the games so the Twins must be furious. The Twins will have a chance to finally beat them as Zach Plesac has struggled lately and has been pounded by the Twins in his career. Smeltzer will start for the Twins and he dominated the Guardians earlier in the season holding them to only 1 run across 5 innings but the Guardians offense is looking unstoppable right now. I think the play here is the over as both offenses have been on fire on this series.

PICK:  Over 9.5 (-110)

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