Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 3 (7/3): MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 3 (7/3): MLB

Credit: photo by Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Dodgers money line -185
Dodgers run line -1.5 (+115)
Padres money line +153
Padres run line +1.5 (-135)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Los Angeles Dodgers San Diego Padres
Record 49-28 46-34
Road / home record 23-12 25-18
Last 10 record 7-3 3-7
Streak W4 L3
Over / under record 31-40-6 35-43-2
Runs / game 5.04 4.64
Runs allowed / game 3.34 3.77

 

Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres will play the 4th game of the series at the Dodger Stadium on Sunday. The Dodgers beat the Padres again on Saturday's game 7-2 and have the lead 3-0 on the series. Freeman, Will Smith and Justin Turner all connected for solo shots off Padres starter Yu Darvish.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers get here with a 49-28 record and have won 4 games in a row. The team is averaging 5 runs per game and they're batting for .252 AVG, 368 runs scored in 626 hits and 89 home runs, ranking #1 in offense in the league barely above the New York Yankees. Mookie Bets leads the team batting for .303 AVG. and 17 home runs. Trea Turner has 53 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.34 runs per game and rank #2 in the league. Tony Gonsolin leads the team with a 1.54 ERA, 77 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Clayton Kershaw (5-2, 2.94 ERA) will be on the mound for the Dodgers in the 4th game of the series. Kershaw took the loss in a 7-4 loss to the Rockies on Tuesday, allowing six earned runs on nine hits and four walks while striking out four. He has a 23-9 record with an ERA of 2.08 and 302 strikeouts in 44 appearances versus the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 46-34 record and have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.64 runs per game and they're batting for .242 AVG, have 357 runs scored in 634 hits and 64 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Manny Machado is leading the team with 12 home runs and 46 RBI and a batting average of .327.

Defensively they are allowing 3.7 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Joe Musgrove allowed three runs and five hits in seven innings. He struck out a season-high 10 and walked one and still leads the pitching staff with a 2.12 ERA, 92 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:

MacKenzie Gore (4-3, 3.34 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 4th game of the series. Gore pitched five scoreless innings in a 1-0 victory over Philadelphia on Friday, surrendering three hits, four walks, and four strikeouts.

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego are 0-9 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games against an opponent in the National League West Division division.rs.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers' last 6 games against San Diego.

LA Dodgers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home.

Prediction

The Padres have been shut down by the Dodgers on this series as they have only scored 4 runs in the first 3 games and it won't get any easier as they will have to face Clayton Kershaw in the 4th of the series who has dominated them in his career. The Dodgers have now won 9 straight games against the Padres at home but haven't faced Gore who the Padres expect to slow down them. With the under cashing big time for both teams I think that's the best play.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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