Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 11 (7/11): MLB

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 11 (7/11): MLB

Credit: photo by  Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:40 p.m. EST
Rockies money line +126
Rockies run line +1.5 (-125)
Padres money line -150
Padres run line -1.5 (+105)
Over / under 11.5

 

Key stats

  Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres
Record 38-48 49-38
Home / road record 23-21 26-18
Last 10 record 5-5 3-7
Streak W1 L2
Over / under record 41-39-6 38-46-2
Runs / game 4.43 4.34
Runs allowed / game 5.34 3.91

 

Preview

The Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres meet again to play a 4-game series at the Coors Field. The Padres tied 2-2 in their last series against the Giants while the Rockies beat the Dbacks 3 of 4 times in Arizona. Colorado is 5-2 vs San Diego this season.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies get here with a 38-48 record and have won 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.43 runs per game and they're batting for .257 AVG, have 381 runs scored in 759 hits and 70 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. CJ Cron is leading the team with 20 home runs and 66 RBI and a batting average of .297.

Defensively they are allowing 5.34 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Chad Kuhl leads the pitching staff with a 4.02 ERA, 63 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded for the Rockies.

Probable Pitcher:

Jose Urena (0-0, 2.51 ERA) will be on the mound for the Rockies in the 1st game of the series. Urena took a no-decision in a difficult road start in Los Angeles, holding the Dodgers to one run on five hits, three walks, and two strikeouts in 6.2 innings. He has a 1-3 record with an ERA of 3.77 and 25 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 49-38 record and lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.34 runs per game and they're batting for .239 AVG, have 378 runs scored in 704 hits and 70 home runs, ranking #16 in offense in the league behind the Chicago Cubs. Manny Machado is leading the team with 14 home runs and 50 RBI and a batting average of .309.

Defensively they are allowing 3.91 runs per game and rank #7 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.09 ERA, 98 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:

Sean Manaea (3-4, 4.18 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 1st game of the series. Manaea took the loss in Monday's 8-2 loss to the Mariners, allowing four runs on eight hits and four walks while striking out three batters in 3.1 innings. He is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.06 and 12 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Rockies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road.

San Diego Padres are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 10 games against San Diego.

Colorado Rockies are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home.

Prediction

The Padres have lost 7 of their last 10 games but they have had some tough series against teams like the Dodgers, Mariners and Giants. They have also struggled against the Rockies losing 5 of the last 7 head to head games this season and 10 straight games at Colorado. They'll send Sean Manaea to the mound who has been up and down this season an has allowed 14 runs in his last 19.1 innings pitched. The Rockies have been decent at home so far this season with a 23-21 record and will send Urena to the mound who had a great game against the Dodgers. The Padres have struggled offensively but this line is indicating something else, if CJ Cron and Kris Bryant don't play I'd definitely hit the Padres with the run line but if they play I'd consider taking the Rockies with the run line. 

PICK: Padres -1.5 (+105)

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