Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 5 (7/5): MLB

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 5 (7/5): MLB

Credit: photo by Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 6:40 p.m. EST
Mets money line -200
Mets run line -1.5 (-125)
Reds money line +165
Reds run line +1.5 (+105)
Over / under 9

 

Key stats

  New York Mets Cincinnati Reds
Record 50-30 27-52
Road / home record 24-17 13-26
Last 10 record 5-5 4-6
Streak W2 L2
Over / under record 42-33-5 44-34-1
Runs / game 4.77 4.29
Runs allowed / game 4.05 5.55

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds will play the 2nd game of the series at the Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The Mets won the first game of the series 7-4. Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Lindor homered, Taijuan Walker (7-2) struck out nine in six innings allowing 3 runs.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 50-30 record and have lost 4 won 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.77 runs per game. They're batting for .256 AVG, 377 runs scored in 679 hits and 76 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Jeff McNeil is batting for .317 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 22 home runs and 69 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 4.01 ERA, 95 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  Max Scherzer (5-1, 2.54 ERA)

Scherzer will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Mets. Scherzer will rejoin the team after missing time due to an oblique strain suffered on May 18. He's hoping to toss about 90 pitches over six innings when he returns to the mound Tuesday. He has a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 1.84 and 84 strikeouts in 9 appearances versus the Reds in his career.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 27-52 record and have lost 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.29 runs. They're batting for .240 AVG, 335 runs scored in 617 hits and 71 home runs, ranking #16 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Brandon Dury leads the team with 42 RBI and 16 home runs. Kyle Farmer is batting for .280 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.55 runs per game and rank #30, the worst in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.48 ERA, 102 strikeouts and 3 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher: 

Nick Lodolo (1-2, 5.52 ERA) will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Reds. Lodolo has been out since late April due to a back strain, and his return has been postponed several times. In three starts with Triple-A Louisville, he has a 2.53 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and 16 strikeouts in 10.2 innings.

BETTING TRENDS

NY Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.

NY Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.

Cincinnati Reds are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.

Cincinnati Reds are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games at home.

Prediction

The Mets have dominated the Reds as they are 15-6 in their last 21 games against them. Max Scherzer is back which is very bad news for the Reds as they have been dominated by him in his career. Scherzer is holding a 1.82 ERA against the Reds. Cincinnati continue to struggle at home losing 11 of their last 12 games there. They'll send Nick Lodolo to the mound who hasn't pitched since April and has only 3 starts this season with a 5.52 ERA. With Scherzer starting for the Mets the Reds won't have a chance to win this game. Take the Mets.

PICK: Mets -1.5 (-125)

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