Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 19 (9/19): MLB

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 19 (9/19): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Tigers money line +153
Tigers run line +1.5 (-130)
Orioles money line -185
Orioles run line -1.5 (+110)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Detroit Tigers  Baltimore Orioles
Record 55-91 76-69
Road / home record 25-46 41-30
Last 10 record 4-6 5-5
Streak L2 W1
Over / under record 55-79-12 64-75-6
Runs / game 3.29 4.16
Runs allowed / game 4.45 4.16

 

Preview

The Baltimore Orioles and the Detroit Tigers will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles lost their last series against the Blue Jays and the Tigers lost 2 of 3 times vs White Sox but they swept the Orioles at home earlier this season.

 

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers get here with a 55-91 record and have lost 6 of their last 7 games. They're averaging 3.29 runs and batting for .231 AVG, 467 runs scored in 1064 hits and 88 home runs, ranking #30 in offense, the worst in the league behind the Oakland Athletics. Javi Baez is leading in home runs with 14 and 58 RBI and batting for an average of .241.

Defensively they are allowing 4.45 runs per game and ranking #20 in the league. Tarik Skubal leads the pitching staff with a 3.52 ERA, 117 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Tyler Alexander (3-10, 5.35 ERA)

Wentz will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Tigers. The Tigers' decision to bypass Alexander's spot in the rotation this week comes after he allowed four earned runs across five innings in a losing effort Sunday in Kansas City. Alexander owns a 10.06 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in 17 innings over his last four starts. He has a 1-0 record with an ERA of 2.70 and 5 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Orioles in his career.

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles get here with a 76-69 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.16 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 576 runs scored in 1085 hits and 146 home runs, ranking #22 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Anthony Santander leads the team with 27 home runs, 79 RBI and Cedric Mullins is batting for an average of .264.

Defensively they are allowing 4.16 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 4.70 ERA, 129 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: Tyler Wells (7-6, 3.93 ERA)

Wells will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Orioles. Wells did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing two runs on two hits and no walks over four innings against the Nationals. He struck out four. He is 0-1 with an ERA of 5.40 and 3 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Tigers in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Detroit Tigers are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against Baltimore.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games on the road.

Detroit Tigers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games against Detroit.

Baltimore Orioles are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Tigers have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are already eliminated but they swept the Orioles earlier this season. For this game they'll send the Tyler Alexander who has been awful this season and the Tigers have lost in 12 of his 13 starts. Tyler Wells will start for the Orioles who has struggled lately and the Orioles have lost in 4 of his last 5 starts. I don't really trust in Wells but the Tigers are the worst offense in the league and the Orioles won't have any trouble to score against Alexander so take Baltimore to win. 

PICK: Orioles ML (-185)

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