Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 21 (9/21) MLB

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 21 (9/21) MLB

 

Odds

Time 12:20 p.m. EST
Braves money line -245
Braves run line -1.5 (-120)
Nationals money line +200
Nationals run line +1.5 (+100)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  Washington Nationals
Record 93-55 51-97
Home / road record 52-25 27-47
Last 10 record 7-3 3-7
Streak W4 L2
Over / under record 70-70-8 73-67-8
Runs / game 4.96 3.86
Runs allowed / game 3.80 5.30

 

Preview

The Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves will play the 3rd game of the series at the Truist Park on Wednesday. The Braves took the win again 3-2 in the second game of the series and clinched the playoff berth. Travis d'Arnaud broke a scoreless tie with a two-run homer in the fourth inning, Dansby Swanson went deep in the eighth.

 

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 93-55 record and have won 6 their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.96 runs per game. They're batting for .252 AVG, 716 runs scored in 1247 hits and 218 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 36 home runs and 91 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .280. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.80 runs per game and rank #7 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.52 ERA, 159 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Bryce Elder (1-3, 3.67 ERA)

Elder will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Braves. Spencer Strider's oblique is bothering him, so he will be pushed back a few days and Elder will step into the rotation Wednesday in order to allow Max Fried to line up against the Phillies on Thursday. He has allowed 3 runs on 6 hits with 4 strikeouts in 5.2 innings against the Nationals in his career. He has been credited with the win.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals get here with a 51-97 record and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.86 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 561 runs scored in 1233 hits and 126 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league, behind the Kansas City Royals. Joey Meneses has a batting average of .309, 9 home runs and 23 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5.30 runs per game and ranking #29, the second worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 5.14 ERA, 149 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.

Probable Pitcher:  Paolo Espino (0-7, 4.24 ERA)

Espino will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Nationals. Espino has operated out of the bullpen the past couple weeks but will rejoin the starting rotation Wednesday, at least temporarily. He is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.72 and 28 strikeouts in 10 appearances against the Braves in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Washington are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games against Atlanta.

Washington are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

Washington are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 20 games against Washington.

Atlanta are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home.

Atlanta are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Washington.

 

Prediction

The Nationals have been awful on the road this season with a 27-47 record and have been dominated by the Braves as well, losing 11 of the last 12 playing in Atlanta. Paolo Espino will start for the Nationals who has struggled this season and has been pounded by the Braves. The Braves just clinched a playoff spot but will continue fighting for the division title with the Mets. Bryce Elder has been solid in his last 2 starts but allowed 3 runs the last time he faced the Braves. I expect a high scoring game as both pitchers have been pounded this season. Take the Over.

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110) 

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