New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 11 (10/11): MLB

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 11 (10/11): MLB

Odds

Time 7:37 p.m. EST
Yankees money line +165
Yankees run line +1.5 (-125)
Guardians money line -200
Guardians run line -1.5 (+105)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Cleveland Guardians
Record 99-63 94-70
Home / road record 57-24 46-35
Last 10 record 5-5 8-2
Streak L2 W4
Over / under record 76-81-5 76-80-8
Runs / game 4.98 4.27
Runs allowed / game 3.50 3.87

 

Preview

The AL Central division champion Cleveland Guardians will visit the AL East champion New York Yankees to play the AL Divisional Series. The Guardians beat the 2-0 Rays in the Wild Card Series but are 1-5 vs Yankees this season.

 

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 99-63 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.98 runs per game. They're batting for .241 AVG, 807 runs scored in 1308 hits and 254 home runs, ranking #2 in offense in the league, behind the LA Dodgers. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .315 with 62 home runs and 131 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.50 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.50 ERA, 257 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Gerrit Cole (13-8, 3.50 ERA)

Cole will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Yankees. Cole took the loss in the second game of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Rangers, giving up three runs (two earned) on six hits over six innings. He struck out nine without walking a batter. He has a record of 5-2 with an ERA of 3.15 and 60 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Guardians in his career.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians get here with a 94-70 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. They're averaging 4.27 runs and batting for .254 AVG, 698 runs scored in 1410 hits and 127 home runs, ranking #18 in offense, behind the Minnesota Twins. Jose Ramirez leads the team batting for .285 avg, 29 home runs and 126 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.87 runs per game and ranking #8 in the league. Shane Bieber leads the pitching staff with a 2.88 ERA, 198 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Guardians.

Probable Pitcher: Cal Quantrill (15-5, 3.38 ERA)

Quantrill will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Guardians. Quantrill earned the win Tuesday over Kansas City, striking out four in five innings while allowing a run on four hits. He has an ERA of 3.38 and 3 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Yankees in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Cleveland are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

Cleveland are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against NY Yankees.

Cleveland are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 5 games.

NY Yankees are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games.

The total has gone OVER in 13 of NY Yankees' last 20 games against Cleveland.

NY Yankees are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Guardians managed to win the first 2 games of the Wild Card Series eliminating the Rays but scored only 3 runs total. Cal Quantrill will start for the Guardians who was pretty solid at the end of the season allowing only 1 run per game in his last 3 starts and the Guardians have won in 16 of his last 17 starts. The Yankees are well rested and will have all of their best players in the lineup including Matt Carpenter who's ready to go. Gerrit Cole will take the mound who has been up and down in the season but is #1 in strikeouts in the MLB with 257 and has dominated the Guardians this season. With the Guardians struggling offensively and the Yankees lineup loaded I think they can win this game at home. Take the Yankees.

PICK: Yankees ML (-200)

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