New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 28 (8/28): MLB

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 28 (8/28): MLB

Credit: photo by Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:40 p.m. EST
Rockies money line +270
Rockies run line +1.5 (+130)
Mets money line -345
Mets run line -1.5 (-150)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Colorado Rockies  New York Mets
Record 54-73 81-46
Home / road record 18-41 42-19
Last 10 record 3-7 4-6
Streak L3 W2
Over / under record 62-58-7 64-56-7
Runs / game 4.54 4.76
Runs allowed / game 5.54 3.78

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Colorado Rockies will play the 4th game of the series at the Citi Field on Sunday. The Mets took the win 7-6 in the second game of the series. Mark Canha hit two clutch doubles and Pete Alonso singled home the winning run in the bottom of the ninth inning. This article was published prior to the conclusion of the 3rd game of the series.

 

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies get here with a 54-73 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.54 runs per game and they're batting for .263 AVG, have 567 runs scored in 1130 hits and 113 home runs, ranking #12 in offense in the league behind the Minnesota Twins. CJ Cron is leading the team with 24 home runs and 83 RBI and a batting average of .268.

Defensively they are allowing 5.54 runs per game and rank #30 in the league. German Marquez leads the pitching staff with a 5.22 ERA, 115 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded for the Rockies.

Probable Pitcher:  German Marquez (6-10, 5.22 ERA)

Marquez will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Rockies. Marquez gave up six earned runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out seven over six innings in a 7-6 victory over the Rangers on Tuesday. He did not factor into the decision. He has a 3-2 record with an ERA of 3.89 and 36 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 81-46 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.76 runs per game. They're batting for .259 AVG, 594 runs scored in 1094 hits and 126 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .321 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 30 home runs and 102 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.78 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.26 ERA, 138 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:   Max Scherzer (9-3, 2.33 ERA)

Scherzer will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Mets. Scherzer allowed four runs on seven hits and a walk over 6.2 innings Monday, striking out three and taking a loss against the Yankees. He is 2-4 with an ERA of 4.91 and 82 strikeouts in 11 appearances against the Rockies in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Colorado Rockies are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

Colorado Rockies are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets' last 9 games against Colorado.

NY Mets are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Rockies continue to struggle on the road this season with a 18-41 record and have also lost 7 of the last 8 games vs Mets on the road. German Marquez will take the mound for this game who was pounded in his last start allowing 6 runs vs Rangers and already lost vs Mets earlier this season. The Mets will send Max Scherzer to close this series who has struggled in his last 2 starts allowing 4 runs in each of them but were against two of the best teams in the league. With that being said I think this total has been set too low as the Rockies has one of the worst bullpens in the MLB. Take the over.

PICK: Over 7.5 (-110) 

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