Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 14 (8/14): MLB

Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 14 (8/14): MLB

Credit: photo by  Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:40 p.m. EST
Braves money line -141
Braves run line -1.5 (+123)
Marlins money line +115
Marlins run line +1.5 (-152)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  Miami Marlins
Record 69-46 50-64
Road / home record 32-24 23-31
Last 10 record 5-5 3-7
Streak W5 L3
Over / under record 58-50-7 50-59-5
Runs / game 4.81 3.81
Runs allowed / game 4.04 4.17

 

Preview

The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves will play the 4th game of the series at the loanDepot park on Sunday. The Braves won both of the double-header games to secured the series and they're 8-4 against the Marlins this season.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 69-46 record and have won their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.81 runs per game. They're batting for .250 AVG, 539 runs scored in 955 hits and 170 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Austin Riley is leading the team with 30 home runs and 74 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .300. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.04 runs per game and rank #8 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.60 ERA, 127 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Bryce Elder (1-3, 5.48 ERA)

Elder will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for Atlanta. Elder was recalled prior to the second game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Marlins. He has recently thrown in long relief at the big-league level, though he had consistently worked at least six innings with Triple-A Gwinnett. He has given up 2 runs on 5 hits with 6 walks and 4 strikeouts in 4.2 innings against the Marlins in his career. He has been charged with the loss.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 50-64 record and have lost 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 3.81 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, have 419 runs scored in 867 hits and 101 home runs, ranking #26 in offense in the league behind the Los Angeles Angels. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .274. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.17 runs per game and rank #12 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 2.01 ERA, 145 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Braxton Garrett (2-6, 4.02 ERA)

Garrett will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Marlins. Garrett took the loss Tuesday, allowing four runs on eight hits and zero walks over 4.2 innings against the Phillies. He struck out three. He has given up 3 runs on 3 hits with 6 walks and 2 strikeouts in 3 innings versus the Braves in his career. He has been charged with the loss.

BETTING TRENDS

Atlanta Braves are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

 

Atlanta Braves are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami.

Miami Marlins are 1-12 SU in their last 13 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games against an opponent in the National League.

Prediction

The Marlins have struggled offensively as they are averaging 2.1 runs per game in their last 10 games and have lost 12 of their last 13 games at home. Braxton Garrett will take the mound for the Marlins who has been up and dow this season and the Marlins have lost in his last 3 starts. The Braves offense continue to stay hot as they have scored 5.4 runs in the last 10 games. They'll send Bryce Elder to the mound who has only 4 starts this season and the Braves have lost in 3 of them. I think the Marlins should have more chances to score against Elder and with the Braves on a hot streak I think the best play is the over. 

PICK: Over 7.5 (-110)

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