Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 25 (7/25): MLB

Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 25 (7/25): MLB

Credit: photo by Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Padres money line -165
Padres run line -1.5 (+105)
Tigers money line +139
Tigers run line +1.5 (-125)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Detroit Tigers San Diego Padres
Record 38-58 54-43
Home / road record 22-26 29-22
Last 10 record 2-8 5-5
Streak L3 L1
Over / under record 36-55-5 42-51-2
Runs / game 3.15 4.31
Runs allowed / game 4.37 3.95

 

Preview

The Detroit Tigers will host the San Diego Padres to play a 3-game series at the Comerica Park. The Padres won their last series against the New York Mets while the Tigers lost vs Twins. This is the first time these teams meet this season.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers get here with a 38-58 record and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 3.15 runs and batting for .228 AVG, 299 runs scored in 710 hits and 54 home runs, ranking #30 in offense, the worst in the league behind the Oakland Athletics. Miguel Cabrera leads the team batting for .282 AVG, Javi Baez is leading in home runs with 9 and 36 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4.37 runs per game and ranking #19 in the league. Tarik Skubal leads the pitching staff with a 3.88 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Drew Hutchison (1-4, 4.46 ERA) will be on the mound for the Tigers in the 1st game of the series. In his last start, Hutchison allowed 4 runs on 6 hits and 2 walks in the 6-5 loss against the Guardians. He did not factor in the decision. He hasn't pitched against the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 54-43 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.31 runs per game and they're batting for .240 AVG, have 414 runs scored in 777 hits and 80 home runs, ranking #19 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Manny Machado is leading the team with 16 home runs and 54 RBI and a batting average of .303.

Defensively they are allowing 3.95 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.63 ERA, 106 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:

Sean Manaea (5-4, 4.11 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 1st game of the series. Manaea took the win Saturday against the Diamondbacks. He allowed three runs on seven hits and two walks with three strikeouts in six innings. He is 3-1 with an ERA of 2.88 and 23 strikeouts in 4 appearances versus the Tigers in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego Padres are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games against an opponent in the American League.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home.

Detroit Tigers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.

Prediction

The Tigers continue to lose games as they have lost 11 of their last 13 games and are averaging only 3 runs per game. They'll send Drew Hutchison to the mound who has only 5 starts this season and is holding a 4.46 ERA. The Padres have won their last 2 series but have lost 11 of their last 16 games on the road. Sean Manaea will get the ball for this game who has struggled lately but the Padres have won in 5 of his last 7 starts. The Tigers are the worst offense in the league so Manaea should dominate them on this game. Take the Padres. 

PICK: Padres -1.5 (+105)

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