Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 9 (9/9): MLB

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 9 (9/9): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Orioles money line -135
Orioles run line +1.5 (-170)
Red Sox money line +113
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+145)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox
Record 72-65 67-71
Home / road record 40-28 32-37
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak L1 L3
Over / under record 61-71-5 63-65-10
Runs / game 4.20 4.52
Runs allowed / game 4.10 4.86

 

Preview

The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Red Sox were swept by the Rays and the Orioles lost 2 of 3 times vs Blue Jays but are 7-5 against the Red Sox so far this season.

 

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles get here with a 72-65 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.20 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 576 runs scored in 1085 hits and 146 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Anthony Santander leads the team with 27 home runs, 79 RBI and Cedric Mullins is batting for an average of .264.

Defensively they are allowing 4.10 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 4.25 ERA, 123 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Austin Voth (4-2, 4.41 ERA) will be on the mound for the Orioles in the 1st game of the series. Voth allowed a run on six hits and struck out four over 3.1 innings in a no-decision during Saturday's 8-1 win over the Athletics. He is 0-1 with an ERA of 15.00 and 5 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Red Sox in his career.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 67-71 record and have lost their last 3 games. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 624 runs scored in 1231 hits and 130 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league, behind the Milwaukee Brewers. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 25 home runs and 73 RBI, batting for .289 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.86 runs per game and rank #25 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 9 wins recorded with a 4.29 ERA and 148 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Brayan Bello (1-4, 5.91 ERA) will be on the mound for the Red Sox in the 1st game of the series. Bello picked up the win Saturday, allowing three hits and one walk over six scoreless innings against the Rangers. He struck out five. He hasn't pitched against the Orioles in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games.

Boston are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.

Baltimore are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 15 games against Boston.

 

Prediction

The Red Sox struggled in their last series vs Rays and are 2-4 when have played on the road against the Orioles this season. For this game they'll send Brayan Bello to the mound who's coming from his best start of the season allowing no runs and only 3 hits in 6 innings pitched vs Rangers. The Orioles will send Austin Voth who has been decent on the mound and has allowed 1 run in each of his last 2 starts. The under has cashed big time when these 2 teams have met and with their recent struggles I think the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110)

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