Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 12 (7/12): MLB

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 12 (7/12): MLB

Credit: photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Mets money line +134
Mets run line +1.5 (-160)
Braves money line -160
Braves run line -1.5 (+135)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  New York Mets  Atlanta Braves
Record 54-33 52-36
Road / home record 26-18 30-19
Last 10 record 6-4 7-3
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 45-37-5 42-43-3
Runs / game 4.76 4.78
Runs allowed / game 3.94 3.95

 

Preview

The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets will play the 2nd game of the series at the Truist Park on Tuesday. The Mets took the win 4-1 on Monday's game to take the lead on the series. Scherzer pitched seven strong innings, Luis Guillorme homered and drove in two runs.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 54-33 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.76 runs per game. They're batting for .255 AVG, 409 runs scored in 742 hits and 85 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league tied with the Philadelphia Phillies. Jeff McNeil is batting for .311 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 23 home runs and 70 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.94 runs per game and rank #8 in the league. Chris Bassit  gave up two runs and six hits in 6 1/3 innings in the loss vs Marlins. He leads the pitching staff with a 3.94 ERA, 98 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher: David Peterson (5-1, 3.48 ERA)

Peterson will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Mets. Peterson did not factor into the decision in the Reds' 8-3 extra-inning win on Wednesday, allowing three runs on four hits and five walks in 3.2 innings. He struck out seven batters. He has a 2-2 record with an ERA of 5.84 and 31 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Braves in his career.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 52-36 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 416 runs scored in 745 hits and 133 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the LA Dodgers. Austin Riley is leading the team with 23 home runs and 56 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .302. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.95 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Max Fried gave up two runs on five hits and five walks, matching his career high, in five innings. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.56 ERA, 105 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Spencer Strider (4-2, 2.60 ERA)

Strider will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Braves. Strider struck out 12 batters in six scoreless innings while allowing two runs on two hits in a 3-2 extra-inning loss to St. Louis on Thursday. He didn't factor in the decision. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 3.86 in 2 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

NY Mets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

NY Mets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 11 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games against an opponent in the National League.

Prediction

The Braves offense couldn't do much against an outstanding performance from Max Scherzer but they might have better chances against Peterson as they have scored at least 3 runs in each of the last 3 meetings. Spencer Strider will get the ball for the Braves and he has been sharp lately allowing only 1 run in his last 18 innings pitched. The Braves should be able to bounce back and be better offensively against Peterson. Take the Braves.

PICK: Braves ML (-160)

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