Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 11 (8/11): MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 11 (8/11): MLB

Credit: photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 3:40 p.m. EST
Pirates money line +144
Pirates run line +1.5 (-145)
Diamondbacks money line -175
Diamondbacks run line -1.5 (+125)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Pittsburgh Pirates Arizona Diamondbacks
Record 45-66 50-60
Road / home record 21-37 31-29
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 48-56-7 50-55-5
Runs / game 3.63 4.25
Runs allowed / game 4.99 4.57

 

Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Arizona Diamondbacks will play the 4th game of the series at the Chase Field on Thursday. The Pirates took the win 6-4 in the third game of the series and are 3-3 against the Dbacks so far this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 45-66 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 3.63 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 392 runs scored in 783 hits and 108 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 16, 35 RBI and batting for an average of .258.

Defensively they are allowing 4.99 runs per game and ranking #26 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.49 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 2 win with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher:  JT Brubaker (2-10, 4.49 ERA)

Brubaker will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Pirates. Brubaker gave up three earned runs over four innings and took the loss Saturday as the Pirates fell to the Orioles. He allowed eight hits, struck out six and walked two. He has a 1-1 record with an ERA of 5.00 and 9 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Diamondbacks in his career.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks get here with a 50-60 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.25 runs per game and they're batting for .227 AVG, 455 runs scored in 800 hits and 123 home runs, ranking #19 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Christian Walker leads with 26 home runs and 61 RBI and Ketel Marte is batting for .261 AVG. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.57 runs per game and rank #23 in the league. Merrill Kelly leads the team with a 2.86 ERA and 109 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Merrill Kelly (10-5, 2.86 ERA)

Kelly will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Diamondbacks. Kelly registered a no-decision during Saturday's 3-2 loss to Colorado, allowing two runs on seven hits and one walk with five strikeouts in seven-plus innings. He has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 3.00 and 7 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Pirates in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Pittsburgh are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games against an opponent in the National League..

Arizona Diamondbacks are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

Arizona Diamondbacks are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home.

Prediction

The Pirates bounced back and took the win in the third game of the series scoring 6 runs in the game but they might struggled on this one as they'll have to face Merrill Kelly who's having a great season and has allowed only 2 runs in his last 22 innings pitched. JT Brubaker will take the mound for the Pirates who has struggled all season and the Pirates have lost in his last 5 starts. The Dbacks have the advantage on the mound and the better offense. Take the Diamondbacks. 

PICK: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+125)

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