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Nebraska vs Indiana Prediction NCAAB Expert Picks 12/13

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Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers - Game Analysis and Prediction
On December 13, 2024, the Nebraska Cornhuskers (6-2, 0-1 Big Ten) host the Indiana Hoosiers (8-2, 1-0 Big Ten) at Pinnacle Bank Arena in Lincoln, Nebraska. The Hoosiers, riding a four-game winning streak, aim to strengthen their conference standing, while the Cornhuskers seek to bounce back after a tough loss to Michigan State in their conference opener.
Odds Table
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total (Over/Under) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Hoosiers | +3.5 (EVEN) | +155 | o153.5 (-105) |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers | -3.5 (-120) | -185 | u153.5 (-115) |
The Cornhuskers are slight home favorites, with the spread at -3.5. The total is set at 153.5, reflecting expectations for a high-scoring contest between two potent offenses.
Team Analysis
Indiana Hoosiers
The Hoosiers have started strong, boasting an 8-2 record and a perfect 1-0 mark in Big Ten play. Indiana’s offense is led by forward Malik Reneau, who averages 15.5 points per game on an efficient 60% shooting. Center Oumar Ballo dominates the glass, averaging 9.1 rebounds per game, while Trey Galloway orchestrates the offense with 3.7 assists per game.
- Offensive Strength: Indiana averages 80.4 points per game and leads the Big Ten in field goal percentage at 50.9%.
- Defensive Weakness: The Hoosiers allow 69.1 points per game, struggling at times to contain perimeter shooting.
Nebraska Cornhuskers
The Cornhuskers, sitting at 6-2 overall, are eager to rebound from a blowout loss to Michigan State in their conference opener. Guard Bryce Williams leads Nebraska in scoring with 17.5 points per game while shooting 92.5% from the free-throw line. Bekir Buyuktuncel contributes on the boards with 5.9 rebounds per game, and Rollie Worster adds steady playmaking at point guard.
- Offensive Strength: Nebraska averages 79.4 points per game, fueled by an up-tempo style and aggressive drives to the basket.
- Defensive Focus: The Cornhuskers generate 9.5 steals per game, often turning defense into transition opportunities.
Recent Performance
Indiana Hoosiers
Indiana has been in excellent form, winning four of its last five games:
- 12/9: Defeated Minnesota 82-67
- 12/6: Defeated Miami-Ohio 76-57
- 12/3: Defeated Sam Houston State 97-71
- 11/29: Defeated Providence 89-73
- 11/28: Lost to Gonzaga 89-73
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Nebraska is 3-2 in its last five games, with a significant win over Creighton:
- 12/7: Lost to Michigan State 89-52
- 12/1: Defeated North Florida 103-72
- 11/27: Defeated South Dakota 96-79
- 11/22: Defeated Creighton 74-63
- 11/17: Lost to Saint Mary’s 77-74
Head-to-Head Comparison
Indiana and Nebraska are evenly matched in terms of offensive firepower, but Nebraska has the edge in defensive disruption with its league-leading steals. The Hoosiers won both matchups last season, but Nebraska’s improved roster and home-court advantage could tip the scales in their favor this time.
Betting Stats and Trends
Key trends for Indiana:
- The Hoosiers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
- The total has gone over in four of Indiana's last six games.
- Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last six road games.
Key trends for Nebraska:
- The Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games at home.
- The total has gone over in five of Nebraska's last six games.
- Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four games as a favorite.
Prediction
While Indiana has been in great form, Nebraska’s home-court advantage and aggressive defense make the Cornhuskers the pick in this closely contested game. Nebraska’s ability to generate turnovers and score in transition should help them cover the spread.
Pick: Nebraska -3.5 (-120)
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