Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 11 (11/11): NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 11 (11/11): NHL

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Maple Leafs money line -115
Maple Leafs spread -1.5 (+200)
Penguins  money line -105
Penguins spread +1.5 (-240)
Over / under 6.5

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Toronto Maple Leafs Pittsburgh Penguins
Record 7-4-2 11-2
Home / road record 5-1 6-1
Streak W3 W7
Goals per game 2.70 2.67
Goals allowed per game 3.00 2.44
Shots per game 31.5 26.0
Shots allowed per game 28.5 35.2
PP % 24.6% 19.10%
PK % 28.22% 10.80%
Over / under record 4-9 4-8-1
 

Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs return home and will host the Pittsburgh Penguins on Tuesday night. These teams just faced each other last month in Pittsburgh where the Penguins took the win 3-1. Nicolas Roy and Michael Amadio each scored their first of the season for the Penguins.

 

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs have won 3 games in a row and are 5-1 at home this season ranking 3rd in the Atlantic division. In their last game, they beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-1 on the road. John Tavares scored the tiebreaking goal in the third period. Calle Jarnkrok and William Nylander also scored to help Toronto win for the second time in seven road games. Erik Kallgren had 29 saves to get his first victory of the season.

John Tavares has 8 goals, 15 points and 7 assists for the Maple Leafs while Mitchell Marner is leading in assists with 12.

In their last 10 games Toronto are 5-5, averaging 2.8 goals, 5.8 assists, 6.3 penalties and 21.2 penalty minutes while giving up 2.6 goals per game

Pittsburgh Penguins

The Penguins have lost 5 games in a row and are 1-4-1 on the road so far with a 4-4-2 record ranking 7th in the Metropolitan Division. They're coming from a tough loss at home vs Bruins as they lost in overtime 6-5. Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and Rickard Rakell all scored their fifth for Pittsburgh. Bryan Rust and Josh Archibald also scored for the Penguins, who lost their fifth straight game and first at home.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 7 total assists, 5 goals and has 12 points over the first 10 games of the season.

In their last 10 games the Penguins are 4-6, averaging 3.7 goals, 5.9 assists, 3.1 penalties and seven penalty minutes while giving up 3.5 goals per game with a .902 save percentage.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vegas' last 8 games.

Vegas are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.

Vegas are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Toronto.

Vegas are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games against Vegas.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Maple Leafs have been playing great lately and just beat 3 of the best teams in the NHL like the Flyers, Bruins and Hurricanes but they lost earlier agasint the Penguins in Pittsburgh. The Penguins are on a hot streak as they have won 7 games in a row but going against the Maple Leafs in Toronto won't be easy as they have lost only 1 game at home. I expect a very close game and with both teams playing great defense I think the under is the play.

PICK: Under 6.5 (-110) 

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