Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 21 (10/21): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 21 (10/21): MLB

Odds

Time 7:37 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -105
Phillies run line +1.5 (-175)
Padres money line -115
Padres run line -1.5 (+150)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  San Diego Padres
Record 93-77 95-76
Home / road record 49-34 48-38
Last 10 record 6-4 6-4
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 86-78-6 81-84-6
Runs / game 4.61 4.36
Runs allowed / game 4.20 4.05

 

Preview

The San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet again to play the Game 3 of the National League Championship Series at the Citizens Bank Park on Friday night. The Padres took the win 8-5 in the second game of the series. Brandon Drury hit a go-ahead, two-run single during a five-run outburst in the fifth inning and San Diego stunned Aaron Nola.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 93-77 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Ranger Suarez (10-7, 3.65 ERA)

Suarez will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Phillies. He had a good start against the Braves allowing 1 run in 3.1 innings striking out 5. He has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 1.64, 6 strikeouts and 1 save in 4 appearances against the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 95-76 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.36 runs per game and they're batting for .241 AVG, have 705 runs scored in 1318 hits and 153 home runs, ranking #12 in offense in the league behind the San Francisco Giants. Manny Machado is leading the team with 32 home runs and 102 RBI and a batting average of .296.

Defensively they are allowing 4.05 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Yu Darvish leads the pitching staff with a 3.10 ERA, 197 strikeouts and 16 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:  Joe Musgrove (10-7, 2.93 ERA)

Musgrove will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Padres. Musgrove pitched great in his last start against the Dodgers allowing only 2 run across 6 innings. He has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 3.00 and 27 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Phillies in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 12 games.

San Diego are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

San Diego are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against Philadelphia.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games.

Philadelphia are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 17 games against San Diego.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Padres cameback from losing 4-2 and pounded Aaron Nola to beat the Phillies 8-5 but this time they will play in Philadelphia and face Ranger Suarez who held them to only 2 runs across 7.1 innings pitched earlier this season. Joe Musgrove will take the mound for the Padres who has been pretty good lately but has struggled against the Phillies in his career. The Citizens Bank Park will be extremely loud and the Phillies haven't slowed down the offense so I think they can win this game.

PICK: Phillies ML (-105)

Upgrade to View Prediction

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MLB experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for MLB picks, sports picks and sports betting.

MLB expert picks, Expert mlb picks, MLB expert picks today, Expert mlb picks today, Top mlb picks for today, Expert mlb picks free, MLB expert picks against the spread.

Winnings $84,090
last 30 days winnings $0
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 1285 - 1108 - 96
Winnings % 51%
Winnings $78,930
last 30 days winnings $930
Yesterday winnings ($1,500)
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 613 - 397 - 11
Winnings % 59%