Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 12 (7/12): MLB

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 12 (7/12): MLB

Credit: photo by  Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 6:40 p.m. EST
Pirates money line +126
Pirates run line +1.5 (-160)
Marlins money line -150
Marlins run line -1.5 (+135)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins
Record 37-50 41-44
Road / home record 17-27 20-18
Last 10 record 6-4 6-4
Streak W3 L1
Over / under record 36-45-6 41-41-3
Runs / game 3.62 4.30
Runs allowed / game 5.16 4.25

 

Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Miami Marlins will play the 2nd game of the series at the loanDepot park on Tuesday. The Pirates took the win 5-1 on Monday's game to take the lead on the series.  Mitch Keller pitched one-run ball over seven innings and Jake Marisnick homered and doubled to help the Pirates for the win.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 37-50 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 3.6 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 316 runs scored in 620 hits and 95 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 15, 32 RBI and batting for an average of .261.

Defensively they are allowing 5.1 runs per game and ranking #26 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.34 ERA, 88 strikeouts and 2 win with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher:  Chris Stratton (2-6, 5.21 ERA)

Stratton will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Pirates. Stratton hasn't pitched more than two innings all season, so he'll start before giving way to a primary pitcher who has yet to be named. Stratton has only allowed one run in his last five appearances, walking two and striking out five (3.2 innings). He has a 0-1 record with an ERA of 2.84, 8 strikeouts and 2 saves in 4 appearances versus the Marlins in his career.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 40-43 record and have won 6 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.3 runs per game. They're batting for .242 AVG, have 359 runs scored in 684 hits and 90 home runs, ranking #18 in offense in the league behind the Chicago Cubs. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .300. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.2 runs per game and rank #16 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.73 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: 

Daniel Castano (1-2, 3.60 ERA) will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Marlins. Castano suffered the loss on Thursday against the Mets after giving up six runs (five earned) on nine hits and no walks while striking out two.

BETTING TRENDS

Pittsburgh Pirates are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.

Miami Marlins are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

Prediction

The Marlins were dominated by Mitch Keller in the first game of the series who held them to only 1 run across 7 innings so they're now 1-4 in the last 5 games playing at home against them but they might have better chances in the second game of the series as the Pirates will have a bullpen day and they're one of the worst in the league. Miami will send Daniel Castano to the mound who was pounded by the Mets in his last start but before that he was doing a good job on the mound. Expect the Marlins to bounce back and get this win to tie the series.

PICK: Marlins ML (-150)

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