Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 17 (7/17): MLB

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 17 (7/17): MLB

Credit: photo by  Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:40 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -155
Phillies run line -1.5 (+115)
Marlins money line +130
Marlins run line +1.5 (-135)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies Miami Marlins
Record 48-43 43-47
Road / home record 24-22 22-21
Last 10 record 6-4 3-7
Streak W2 L2
Over / under record 47-42-2 43-44-3
Runs / game 4.66 4.22
Runs allowed / game 4.13 4.20

 

Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins will play the 3rd game of the series at the loanDepot park on Sunday. The Phillies destroyed the Marlins 10-0 in the second game of the series.  Kyle Schwarber hit his NL-leading 29th homer, J.T. Realmuto had a homer and a double.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 48-43 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.66 runs per game. They're batting for .245 AVG, 415 runs scored in 738 hits and 115 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the Boston Red Sox. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 28 home runs and 57 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .273 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and rank #11 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.89 ERA, 108 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Aaron Nola (5-7, 3.35 ERA)

Nola will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Phillies. Nola was pounded by the Cardinals in his last start allowing 5 runs  in 7 hits including a home run, recording the loss. He has a record of 4-8 with an ERA of 3.53 and 120 strikeouts in 18 appearances versus the Marlins in his career.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 43-47 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.2 runs per game. They're batting for .240 AVG, have 367 runs scored in 701 hits and 90 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Chicago White Sox. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .300. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.2 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.73 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: 

Trevor Rogers (4-8, 5.42 ERA) will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Marlins. Rogers took the loss against the Pirates after allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits and three walks in 5.1 innings. He is 1-3 with an ERA of 7.26 and 35 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Phillies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami.

Philadelphia are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games.

MiamiMarlins  are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

Prediction

The Marlins continue to struggle offensively as they have scored only 1 run in the last 2 games. They'll send Trevor Rogers to the mound who has an awful 7.26 ERA against the Phillies in his career. The Phillies offense exploded against the rookie Meyer and the Marlins bullpen. Aaron Nola will get the ball and he has struggled lately allowing 12 runs in his last 3 starts but dominated the Marlins ealier this season. With the Mariners struggling offensively and being in disadvantage on the mound I think the Phillies will win again.

PICK: Phillies -1.5 (+115)

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