Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 13 (11/13) NFL

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 13 (11/13) NFL

 

Odds

Time 1:00 p.m. EST
Browns money line +150
Browns spread +3.5 (-110)
Dolphins money line -175
Dolphins spread -3.5 (-110)
Over / under 49.5

 

2022 season stats

  Cleveland Browns Miami Dolphins
Record 3-5 6-3
Road / home record 1-2 3-1
Points per game 25.0 23.7
Points allowed per game 24.9 24.9
O/U 5-2-1 4-5
Pass yards per game 232.3 306.0
Rush yards per game 164.0 86.5
Total yards per game 397.5 393.5
Total yards allowed per game 347.5 376.0

 

Preview

The Miami Dolphins return home and will host the Cleveland Browns on Sunday at the Hard Rock Stadium. These teams haven't faced each other since 2019-2020 season where the Browns beat the Dolphins 41-24 in Cleveland.

 

Cleveland Browns

The Browns get here with a 3-5 record and have lost 4 of theit last 5 games. They ended their losing streak after beating the Bengals 32-13 at home. Nick Chubb r ushed for two touchdowns and Myles Garrett and Cleveland's defense frustrated Joe Burrow. Brissett ran for a TD and passed for another completing 17 of 22 for 278 yards and a career-high 133.7 rating.

Jacoby Brisset has 1862 yards 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions completing 163 of 255 passes. Nick Chubb is 3rd in the NFL with 841 rushing yards while Amari Cooper leads the team in yards received with 553 in 39 receptions and 5 touchdowns.

Defensively, they have been good against the run allowing 164 yards per game while allowing 232 passing yards.

 

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 3-1 at home ranking 3rd in the AFC East. In their last game, they beat the Bears 35-32 on the road. Tagovailoa threw for three touchdowns and completed 21 of 30 passes for 302 yards without an interception and posted a 135.7 rating. Tyreek Hill had 143 yards receiving and caught seven passes, including a 3-yard touchdown in the second quarter.

The Dolphins defense struggled to stop the Bears offense allowing 32 points in the game.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Cleveland are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

Cleveland are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Miami.

Cleveland are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Miami.

Cleveland are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

Miami are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

Miami are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games.

Miami are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home.

Miami are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

 

Prediction

The Dolphins have won 3 games in a row since Tua returned with the team and are 3-1 at home so far this season. The Browns offense exploded in their last game vs Bears and they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs Dolphins. Neither of these teams have been playing good defense lately so I expect a high scoring game as both offenses are hot right now so go with the over on this one.

PICK: Over 49.5 (-110)

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