Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction, Pick and Preview, January 5 (1/5): NBA

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction, Pick and Preview, January 5 (1/5): NBA

 

Odds

Time 10:00 p.m. EST
Nuggets money line -179
Nuggets spread -4.5 (-110)
Clippers money line +165
Clippers spread +4.5 (-110)
Over / under 225.5

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Clippers
Record 24-13 21-18
Home / road record 14-3 10-10
Streak L1 L3
Points per game 116.00 109.00
Points allowed per game 114.00 109.00
Rebounds per game 42.00 43.00
Rebounds allowed per game 40.00 41.00
Over / under record 18-18-1 16-23
 

Preview

The Denver Nuggets return home and will host the Los Angeles Clippers at the Ball Arena on Thursday night. These teams faced each other earlier season and the Nuggets won and covered the spread as -4 points favorites.  

 

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets get here with a 24-13 record and are 14-3 at home so far this season ranking 1st in the Northwest Division. The Nuggets are 18-9 against conference opponents. Denver averages 14.6 turnovers per game and is 10- when it wins the turnover battle.

Nikola Jokic is shooting 61.5% and averaging 25.6 points for the Nuggets. Gordon is averaging 17.1 points over the last 10 games for Denver.

In their last 10 games, the Nuggets are 7-3, averaging 117.7 points, 41.8 rebounds, 30.3 assists, 7.6 steals and 3.5 blocks per game while shooting 50.9% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 115.1 points per game.

Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers get here with a 21-18 record overall and are 10-10 on the road ranking 2nd in the Pacific Division. The Clippers are 11-11 against conference opponents and they have a 9-10 record in games decided by 10 or more points.

Paul George is averaging 24.4 points, 6.1 rebounds, 5.3 assists and 1.6 steals for the Clippers. Marcus Morris is averaging 11.7 points over the past 10 games for Los Angeles.

In their last 10 games the Clippers are 5-5, averaging 114.2 points, 44.3 rebounds, 23.5 assists, 6.8 steals and 4.3 blocks per game while shooting 46.8% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 111.7 points.

 

BETTING TRENDS

LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

LA Clippers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Denver.

The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Clippers' last 12 games on the road.

LA Clippers are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Denver.

Denver are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games.

Denver are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games against LA Clippers.

 

Prediction

The Nuggets have won their last 6 games at home and have all of their best players available for this game. The Clippers have lost 3 games in a row but they were able to keep the games close. The status of Paul George, who is questionable with a hamstring injury, will be a major factor in this matchup as Kawhi Leonard will play. The last time these teams met the Nuggets won by 10 points but Kawhi and George didn't play on that game so I expect the Clippers to keep this one closer so I'm going with the Clippers to cover the spread.

 

PICK: Clippers +4.5 (-110)

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