Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Red Sox money line -125
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+160)
Orioles money line +105
Orioles run line +1.5 (-185)
Over / under 9

 

Key stats

  Boston Red Sox  Baltimore Orioles
Record 73-81 80-74
Home / road record 38-38 36-40
Last 10 record 3-7 5-5
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 72-72-10 70-78-6
Runs / game 4.52 4.18
Runs allowed / game 4.80 4.18

 

Preview

The Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox will play 3rd game of the series at the Fenway Park on Wednesday. The Red Sox bounced back and took the win 13-9 in the second game of the series. Casas hit a two-run homer for Boston, which had dropped six in a row. Tommy Pham had three RBI, and Rafael Devers hit a two-run single.

 

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 73-81 record and have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 678 runs scored in 1328 hits and 141 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league, behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 27 home runs and 84 RBI, batting for .289 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.80 runs per game and rank #24 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 10 wins recorded with a 4.35 ERA and 160 strikeouts

Probable Pitcher:  Rich Hill (7-7, 4.89 ERA)

Hill will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for Boston. Hill didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 5-4 loss to the Yankees, giving up four runs on five hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out four. He has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 2.80 and 48 strikeouts in 18 appearances against the Orioles in his career.

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles get here with a 80-74 record and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.18 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 576 runs scored in 1085 hits and 146 home runs, ranking #21 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Anthony Santander leads the team with 27 home runs, 79 RBI and Cedric Mullins is batting for an average of .264.

Defensively they are allowing 4.16 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 4.70 ERA, 129 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Dean Kremer (8-5, 3.07 ERA)

Kremer will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Orioles. Kremer allowed four hits and two walks during a complete game shutout against Houston on Friday. He earned a win and struck out six. He has a 0-3 record with an ERA of 7.23 and 15 strikeouts in 4 appearances versus the Red Sox in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road.

Baltimore are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against Boston.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games.

Boston are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Orioles offense continued to stay hot but they were outscored by the Red Sox 13-9 in the second game of the series. Dean Kremer will start for the Orioles who's coming from one of his best start of the season as he pitched 9 scoreless innings vs Astros. The Red Sox will send Rich Hill to the mound who has struggled in his last 2 starts allowing 4 runs in each one. The Orioles need to win this game and Kremer will get here with confidence so go with Baltimore to win the game.

PICK: Orioles ML (+105)

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